Prakiraan dan ulasana mingguan 06-10 Maret.
6 Maret
(AUD) 00:30 – Retail Sales (MoM) (Jan) – – – High Volatility (Last: -0.1% Prediction: 0.4%)
(USD) 15:00 – Factory Orders (MoM) (Jan) – – – Moderate Volatility (Last: 1.3% Prediction: 1%)
(GBP) 20:00 – FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks – – – High Volatility
7 Maret
(AUD) 03:30 – RBA Interest Rate Decision (Mar) – – – High Volatility (Last: 1.5% Prediction: 1.5%)
(AUD) 03:30 – RBA Rate Statement – – – High Volatility
(EUR) 07:00 – German Factory Orders (MoM) (Jan) – – – Moderate Volatility (Last:5.2% Prediction: -2.7%)
(GBP) 08:30 – Halifax House Price Index (MoM) (Feb) – – – Moderate Volatility (Last:0.3% Prediction: -0.9%)
(GBP) 08:30 – Halifax House Price Index (YoY) (Feb) – – – Moderate Volatility (Last:5.7% Prediction: -5.3%)
(CAD) 15:00 – CADIvey PMI (Feb) – – – High Volatility (Last: 57.2% Prediction: 58.9%)
(JPY) 15:00 – GDP (QoQ) (Q4) – – – High Volatility (Last: 57.2% Prediction: 58.9%)
(JPY) 15:00 – GDP (YoY) (Q4) – – – Moderate Volatility (Last: 1% Prediction: 1.6%)
8 Maret
(EUR) 07:00 – German Industrial Production (MoM) (Jan) – – – Moderate Volatility (Last: -3% Prediction: 2.5%)
(USD) 13:15 – ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Feb) (Last: 246K Prediction: 190K) – – – High Volatility
(USD) 13:30 – Nonfarm Productivity (QoQ) (Q4) – – – Moderate Volatility (Last: 1.3% Prediction: -1.5%)
(USD) 13:30 – Unit Labor Costs (QoQ) – – – Moderate Volatility (Last: 1.7% Prediction: 1.6%)
(CAD) 13:30 – Building Permits (MoM) (Jan) – – – Moderate Volatility
(CAD) 13:30 – Labor Productivity (QoQ) (Q4) – – – Moderate Volatility
(USD) 15:30 – Crude Oil Inventories – – – High Volatility (Last: 1.7% Prediction: 1.6%)
9 Maret
(CNY) 01:30 – CPI (YoY) (Feb) – – – High Volatility (Last: 2.5% Prediction: 1.6%)
(EUR) 12:45 – Deposit Facility Rate – – – High Volatility (Last: -0.4% Prediction: -0.4%)
(EUR) 12:45 – ECB Interest Rate Decision (Mar) – – – High Volatility (Last: 0.0% Prediction: 0.0%)
(USD) 13:30 – Export\Import Price Index (MoM) (Feb) – – – Moderate Volatility
(EUR) 13:30 – ECB Press Conference – – – High Volatility
10 Maret
(USD) 09:30 – Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Jan) – – – High Volatility (Last: 2.1% Prediction: 0.5%)
(USD) 13:30 – Nonfarm Payrolls (Feb) – – – High Volatility (Last: 227K Prediction: 190K)
(USD) 13:30 – Participation Rate (Feb) – – – Moderate Volatility
(USD) 13:30 – Unemployment Rate (Feb) – – – High Volatility
(CAD) 13:30 – Employment Change (Feb) – – – High Volatility
(CAD) 13:30 – Unemployment Rate (Feb) – – – Moderate Volatility
(CAD) 19:00 – Federal Budget Balance (Feb) – – – Moderate Volatility
Nilai Dollar menurun, karena pidato Janet Yellen, tentang menaikkan suku bunga. Pada saat yang sama, banyak investor mengharapkan kenaikan suku bunga dengan probabilitas tinggi pada pertengahan Maret.
Selama seminggu, indeks dolar naik 0.46%. Ini adalah minggu keempat berturut-turut peningatan indeks dolar. Pada hari Kamis, indeks ini mencapai maksimum dalam tujuh minggu - nilai 102.27. Namun, pada hari Jumat jatuh hingga penutupan pasar, pasangan USD/JPY merosot ke 113.90, sementara sebelum itu, mencapai maksimal sejak Februari 15 -114.97. Selama seminggu dolar telah meningkat dalam harga dengan hampir 1.7%.
Nilai EUR/USD naik menjadi 1.0621. Selama seminggu, telah naik sebesar 0.64%. Tingkat tahanan terdekat adalah 1.6350, dan 1.0832. Tingkat dukungan terendah 1.0492, dan 1.0339
The pound rate also rose against the dollar. GBP/USD rose to 1.2298 at the close of trading on the Friday trading session. But this week there was a strong price decrease to 1.2210 under the influence of the resistance level 1.2576.
Nilai pound juga naik terhadap dolar. GBP/USD naik ke 1.2298 pada penutupan perdagangan pada sesi perdagangan Jumat. Tapi minggu ini ada penurunan harga yang kuat ke 1.2210 di bawah pengaruh tingkat resisten 1.2576.
Analisa oleh analis AccentForex Aarush Marwari.