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Economic News

Collaboration of Indian and Japanese Economy

The Prime Minister of Japan, Shinzo Abe will visit India to begin the bullet train project, as well as to improve the commercial ties between Japan and India, especially in the field of development and defense.

The scheduled arrival of the Japanese PM is on Wednesday and intended to stay for two days to discuss trade dealings along with the annual summit involving the two countries. PM Abe and PM Narendra Modi are working on the 508-km long rail bullet train project called as the Mumbai-Ahmedabad High-Speed Rail, and the two leaders will design the foundation stone on Thursday. This project is estimated to complete by 2023 with an entire capability to run by 350 km per hour.

The Japan Investment Cooperation Agency (JICA) financed this project by 80 percent as a soft loan with a very low-interest rate on a 50 year period. It could further lessen the time spent in traveling from Mumbai to Ahmedabad which is from seven hours down to two hours time travel. The remaining Rs 9,800 crore amount of funding will be carried by Indian Railways, which makes this project an expensive one.

Japan’s Shinkansen Technology will fly to India and made advancement under the scheme of Make in India, says Railway minister Piyush Goyal.
 

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Economic News

Emerging Markets Shift To Domestic Bonds

The bond market became stronger amid all the external shocks and rise in general levels of debt in the emerging market as investors shifted to longer-dated bonds and domestically-issued bonds.
It has been forecasted by the Bank for International Settlement that the rise in debt levels would become a new problem which has been forewarned before. Although, the changes would still depend on the structure and assuage the problem at hand. Nevertheless, borrowing is mostly executed in local currencies at long-term maturities with a fixed rate. Foreign bonds declined from 32 percent since the end of 2001.

These would reinforce the viability of public finance and lessen rollover risks and imparity of currencies as stated by the BIS. Longer tenor bonds would result in higher bond yields internationally since advanced countries implemented loose credit policies and interest rates would push the price lower for long-dated bonds compared to short-term tenor.

According to the most recent report on Sunday, the government debt in emerging markets is aggregated to be at $11.1 trillion which has doubled in value since the latter part of 2007. On the other hand, the public debt partly contributing to the gross domestic product soared by 51 percent and 10 percentage points higher by the end of 2007. At the same time, statistics showed that bond maturities have firmly increased over the emerging markets with the average maturity of 7.7 years including 23 countries such as Mexico and South Africa. Notably, this is just a bit lower than the average figure in 8 years among industrialized nations.
 

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Economic Calendar (Wednesday / September 20,2017)

Know what will happen next in the financial markets with ForexMart's Forex Economic Calendar.

ForexMart's Forex Economic Calendar is a real-time, customizable, and multifunctional, forex tool that allows traders to be updated with the latest and most relevant market events. All information that could be potentially impact your trading will be listed and analyzed here.

A trader that knows more, profits more. Use ForexMart's Forex Economic Calendar and become a better trader today.
 

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Economic News

France’s Budget Easing Amid Steady Economic Growth

The path to recovery of France is strong that the government could reduce spending without affecting the rise of the deficit and the budget as reported by the finance minister on Monday. Twenty billion euros is the target amount of the government but this figure could still be trimmed if there will be a stronger growth and less tightening in the budget next year. On the other hand, the estimated value of cuts for next year will be 16 billion.

In the past, former governments were criticized on their excessively high growth forecasts which are reflected on budget and deficit-reduction. According to the Budget minister Gerald Darmanin, the basis of the initial budget for the President Macron’s administration is the forecast of 1.7 percent. Although he said that this could still improve but this what the current economists anticipate. The assumed 1.7 percent is slightly higher from the previous government forecast of 1.6 percent which is deemed to be the strongest economic performance since 2011.

In the current condition, the government has minimal options but to be stricter in order to achieve the promise of reducing the public deficit and also to lessen tax burden of the nation.
 

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Economic News

NZ Economy Expansion, Rise In GDP Q2

The seasonally adjusted Gross Domestic Product of the New Zealand increased by 0.8 percent in the second quarter as reported to the data on Thursday. It was updated from 0.6 percent in the previous quarter. On the other hand, the annual GDP remained unchanged at 2.5 percent.

This increase was mainly due to the high demand in tourism as more travellers visit the country primarily to take part in the British and Irish Lions rugby tour and the World Master’s games. At the same time, both the retail spending and hotel bookings went up by 2.8 percent.

A senior economist predicted that the next quarter will reach the peak of growth with the sudden flock of people in tourism as an initial boost and “rebound” in transport and agriculture sector. Although, the 0.8 percent quarterly increase is not a striking figure as he mentioned.

The course of growth is in line with the predictions from analysts but it is a bit lower than the forecast 0.9 percent of the central bank. There is a low chance for data on Thursday to affect the decision of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and will still go with the course of keeping the borrowing rates at record low of 1.75 percent. Currently, the economy of New Zealand implies that there is growth following along the forecast in August Monetary policy meeting forecast.
 

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ForexMart App is Now Available on Mobile

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Economic News

Japan’s Manufacturing PMI for September Perk up

The manufacturing activity of Japan increased in September at its fastest pace within four months, along with the expansion of exports and domestic orders, indicated in a preliminary private survey on Monday, and further showed some signs of strengthening demand.

The Markit/Nikkei Japan Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) was able to grow to a seasonally adjusted 52.6 for this month versus the previously 52.2 in the month of August. The PMI remained on top of the threshold 50 that detaches expansion contraction from the 13th consecutive month and drove towards its highest level in May.

Annabel Fiddes, a principal economist at IHS Markit, conducted the survey and said that “Firms signaled stronger expansions in both output and new orders amid reports of firmer demand both at home and abroad.” Fiddes also mentioned that the third quarter ended strong which provided positive signs for production for the following months, as business confidence picked up marginally since last month.

New export orders index expand from 51.3 to 53.1 initially. The flash index for new orders climbed to 52.5 versus 51.9 results in August. PMI index output component further grew since August.

The PMI survey adheres with government figures issued last week, as Japanese exports in August perked up at its fastest in almost four years caused by the strong international demand. There is more evidence offered that shows Japan’s economy will continue growing.
 

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Economic News

Oil Steady Gains Amid Pressure In Market Rebalancing

The oil market is under pressure because of a surge in U.S. dollar but kept their profits from the former session. This was mainly due to the major meeting from producers in Vienna which aims to rebalance their asset allocation.

Since the beginning of 2017, members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries including other oil producing countries such as Russia reduced the output by 1.8 million barrels per day. This action is helpful in easing of global crude inventories towards OPEC’s target of the five-year average.

The London Brent crude for November delivery declined by 4 cents at $56.82 a barrel by 0614 GMT which is close to the highest rate since the third month of the year. On the other hand, the U.S. crude market for November delivery dropped by 10 cents at $50.56 but not too far from the latest four-month highs.

The WTI crude decreased to the same month of Brent futures reached $6.28 which has been extensive since August 2015 and further pressured damages incurred by the U.S. refineries following the hurricane disaster.

The dollar index rose by 1 percent against other currencies. The euro declined following the rally in Germany after the election which demonstrates support for the far-right party and prompted Chancellor Angela Merkel to be in opposition.

The energy minister from Russia publicized that there is no agreement yet on the extension of output reduction after March. Yet, this is anticipated before January and this decision is anticipated before the year ends.
 

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Economic News

Chinese State-owned Firms Higher Gains Until August 2017

State-own companies in China had an increase in profit gains by 21.7 for last month compared to the same period for the year of 2016, as stated by the Ministry of Finance on Tuesday. The collated profits were 1.9 trillion yuan or $287.27 billion for the eight months of the year since January. As for the revenue, it climbed 15.5 percent to 33.08 trillion yuan. Yet, the debts of state firms soared 11 percent to 96.49 trillion yuan set side by side to the previous year at the end of August.
 

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Economic News

Switzerland is the ‘Most Competitive Economy’ in World

On Wednesday, the World Economic Forum announced that Switzerland hailed the most competitive economy in the world for nine consecutive years. In 2008, the country suffered from a minor shock which enabled the United States to push the Swiss economy in the second spot, nevertheless, the Swiss Confederation was able to maintain the first place due to its adeptness as shown in the annual ranking of WEF.

Switzerland is on top for nearly a decade but the country is currently at risk due to populism and complacency.

Aside from Switzerland, the list kept unchanged since last year, except a little bit of shuffling. The United States was able to outpace Singapore for the second place, while Hong Kong is in the sixth rank as it successfully passed three places, going beyond Japan in the ninth place.

Moreover, the Great Britain lowered down to eighth and the WEF said, this fall has nothing to do with the Brexit process and the slide is already expected. The Chinese economy ranked 27th which is ahead of Russia on 38th and India on the 40th. In addition to it, Yemen is in the 37th position and the poor country got the wooden spoon amid their devastated status due to civil war, economic downturn, and widespread scarcity.
 

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Economic News

Turkish PM Yildirim Agreed to Deal Oil Exports with Iraq

Iraq disclosed that it will only deal with the Turkey government when it comes to crude oil exports, according to the Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi on Thursday. The support of Turkey with Iraq was discussed between the Prime ministers of both countries. Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yildirim phone call conversation entails the affirmation of supporting Iraq to “all decision” which he mentioned, in particular, the “restriction” of oil exports. Although, this was not deliberated in detailed.
 

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Economic News

BOJ Member Kataoka Suggests Monetary Policy Expansion

Japanese policymakers plan to expand the country’s monetary policies in the recent review in September that sums up the opinions of the Bank of Japan’s board members meeting on Friday. This implies that the divisions are improving directed by the policies.

Majority of the board members agrees to sustain the current stimulus program even if it would take time to reach the inflation target rate of 2 percent. Although, it was not clear who gave comments in particular and which direction it would go.

One member, Goushi Kataoka has expressed contradiction on keeping the rates and be hawkish instead, implying that the current policy is not enough to boost the inflation and reach the 2 percent target. He specifically mentions the need for an expansion of monetary easing since the sales tax are expected to be increased in October 2019 moving towards the goal.

Some members raised concerns regarding the serious problem of North Korea and how it would affect the country. A member commented that if the geopolitical tension further escalated, the BOJ has to be ready in handling the situation by making necessary policy adjustments to avert the deflationary idea.

The monetary policy meeting of the BOJ has kept its short-term interest rate target at -0.1 percent and a potential to set the 10-year government bond yields close to zero percent. The central bank already expects that the price target of the central bank would take some time and requires patience to keep the current policy.
 

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Economic News

British Economy Soften in Third Quarter, says CBI

The growth in the UK private sector had reduced marginally during the third quarter, as mentioned in the industry poll issued on Sunday, amid the optimistic outlook of various firms in the following months.

The monthly indicator of the Confederation of British Industry for the output for manufacturers, retailers and services companies is down to +11, compared with the +14 for the three months to August. Even though there are mixed expectations, the overall data for the next quarter is anticipated to perked up to +18 which is two points from August.

The survey of the CBI signaled that it is impossible to persuade the rate setters of the BoE who stated that interest rates would increase sooner or later, in consideration of the continuous economic development and price growth.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) mentioned last week that the British economy had an uptick on its slowest annual pace in 2013 subsequent to the EU exit in 2016. As indicated in the Reuters poll last week, many economists predicted that rate hikes will be in November while the other respondents believed that it is inappropriate to imply such action.
 

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Economic News

Australia’s Consumer Confidence Slightly Declined

The consumer confidence in Australia declined last week due to the current and future finances sentiment and risks on longer-term outlook remains.

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Index slipped by 0.6 percent to 113.4 during the week until October 1st, showing a positive sentiment to the economic situation offset by the decline in the prospect of households based on personal finances.

Moreover, consumers are confident regarding the current and future conditions of the economy and came in at 2.5 percent last and 2.0 percent accordingly. However, the household’s outlook is down to 1.6 percent.

Felicity Emmett, ANZ Senior Economist, stated that the financial condition remains above average in the longer-term even though its stability became shaky. The index for buying household goods lowered down by 3.3 percent, as the increased last week eased off and keep below the long-term average. This coincided with the forecast on retail sales for the month of August which has the tendency to decline due to the recovery period.

Furthermore, expectations for inflation revised upward from 0.1 percent to 4.5 percent based on the four-week moving average.
 

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Economic Calendar (October 3, 2017)

Know what will happen next in the financial markets with ForexMart's Forex Economic Calendar.

ForexMart's Forex Economic Calendar is a real-time, customizable, and multifunctional, forex tool that allows traders to be updated with the latest and most relevant market events. All information that could be potentially impact your trading will be listed and analyzed here.

A trader that knows more, profits more. Use ForexMart's Forex Economic Calendar and become a better trader today.
 

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Economic News

UK Inflation Ranked First Among The G7: OECD

According to the statistics issued by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), the cost of living in Britain increased faster compared to other countries, including the so-called ‘G7 leading global economies’. Based on the revealed figures, the British economy has the highest inflation rate among top economies of the world, as the Brexit weighed on the sterling pound and continue to put pressure on household finances.

Inflation in the United Kingdom rose to 2.9% last month due to a surge in prices of fuel and clothing which exacerbate the pressure towards cash-strapped households struggling with slow wage growth. The UK was able to overcome the 1.7% average, which is also greater than the recorded inflation of other G7 members (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan and the United States). It also exceeded the OECD average percentage of 2.2%, this further indicates that Britain surmounted the European Union including other G20 nations, showing results at .5%, 1.7%, and 2.3%.

However, the Britons are currently facing poor wage growth and high expenditure on the back of a weaker pound. This is because of the Brexit referendum that heightened prices for energy, imported goods, and services. Furthermore, United Kingdom is only behind Estonia, Latvia, Mexico, and Turkey.
 

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